Dieses Posting enthält bis auf die beiden aktellen Charts nur
Zitate aus dieser Quelle:
http://www.mclarenreport.net.au/arti...OPE/Page1.html
January 22 2010 CNBC SQUAWKBOX EUROPE
By Bill McLaren
Published 01/22/2010 | January 2010
S&P 500 DAILY CHART:
The key time period now is the one year cycle from the March low.
...
After significant bear moves looking one year from the low is as follows.
1932 low to low 371 days;
1938 low to low (376);
1939 low to high (364);
1949 low to high 363 days;
October 1974 low to low (362 days);
December 1974 low to low (365);
1982 low to low (365);
1987 low to high (367);
October 2002 low to high 369 but sideways not trend change;
March 2003 low to high (359).
When we look further into this the last drive into those one year highs or lows in calendar days were either 22, 30 to 33 (one 36) and one 45 and one 60. So if we count backwards from the early March date the last movement into a high or low should be starting from 45 days which was the last high on the 19th of January or 22 days on Feb 12 or 30 to 33 on Feb 1st through 4th.
Since the one year vibration in time is a high probability and the move to complete that time period is one of three time windows how the index goes into those date will help determine if the one year vibration is a high or low. This is not a top to the bull trend but possibly a high for an intermediate term correction. But it needs to break 1104 to give some evidence of that intermediate term correction starting .
....
The absolute maximum move down would be to that 969 level if the trend were to remain up. There could be a marginal break but any real trading below that level means the bull trend is complete.
...
The major reason for a decline to continue from here is the uncertainty now related to the “financial reform.” The air waves will be full of fear generated propaganda by the financial lobby indicating how disastrous it will be if these laws are enacted, this will fuel the uncertainty. I truly believe the senate is owned by the financial industry and nothing significant will get through this senate. And with the latest Supreme Court decision that corporations can spend as much money on public elections as they desire will strike fear in every politician who doesn’t support the banks.