So unless there is a distribution pattern that can be recognized something similar to the one that occurred at the July high, a test of the high could occur by October 10th.
Bill McLaren schätzt, wir werden beim SPX einen Test des Tops sehen, siehe Variante 2 in
http://www.traderboersenboard.de/for...897#post306897
Den Zeitbereich um den 10. Oktober hält er aus diesem Grund für wichtig:
Five year cycles have a strong history in US stocks. This is a chart of the 5 year or 60 month cycle divided into 1/8th and 1/3rd. If a time period or cycle has validity those mathematical parts of that cycle should also prove to have a vibration in time. You can see that almost every division of this time period of
60 months was significant. Most importantly the mid point of the cycle or
30 months was a significant low and it is not unusual to see a market go low to low in a time period and repeat that same time period into completing the trend. You can also see the last two divisions of the cycle were exact for lows so this time window of
October 10th plus or minus a week is good probability for ending the trend if it can move up past this week.
I still don’t see this as a new leg up in the ongoing bull trend but simply a further period of distribution to complete the bull campaign.
http://www.mclarenreport.net.au/arti...nch/Page1.html