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Benjamin · 30-07-2011, 09:03

Das geht nicht nur um die Präsidentschaftswahl, das wäre zu kurz gedacht.

Außerdem würde sich das sehr rasch ändern, denn die Konsequenzen würden beinahe schlagartig nach einem default kommen und unglaublich viele Menschen ganz direkt treffen, weil sie z.B. keinen Lohn mehr bekommen. Hier die Zahlen nur für den August 2011:

The federal government has an estimated $306.7 billion in payment obligations for August 2011 after the 2nd of the month. The U.S. will take in $172.4 billion in revenue from August 3 to 31, 2011.

Treasury would have to choose from well over 80 million monthly payments so that 40-45% of bills are not paid
–Inflows and outflows do not match up well and are quite “lumpy,” as our daily analysis shows

•The reality would be chaotic:
–Unfair results, unanswered questions
–Treasury picking winners and losers
–Public uproar
–Intense global media focus

•We assume that prioritization will happen after August 2, either passively or actively

•If the Administration is unable to find legal authority to prioritize, it will pay the bills in the order in which they are due, when and as cash is available to do so

If you choose to pay…For a total of $172.7 billion:

Interest on Treasury Securities $29.0 b
SocialSecurity Benefits $49.2 b
Medicare/ Medicaid $50.0 b
DefenseVendor Payments $31.7b
Unemployment Insurance Benefits $12.8 b

Then you can’t fund these programs, worth $134 b…

Military Active Duty Pay $2.9b
Veterans Affairs Programs $2.9 b
FederalSalaries + Benefits $14.2 b
Dep. of Education (e.g., Pell grants, special ed. programs) $20.2 b
Food/Nutrition Services + TANF $9.3 b
Dep. ofLabor (e.g., training and employment services) $1.3 b
Dep.of Justice (e.g., FBI, federal courts) $1.4 b
Dep.of Energy (e.g., energy research, national nuclear programs) $3.5 b
Health and Human Services Grants $8.1b
Federal Highway Administration $4.3 b
Environmental Protection Agency $0.9 b
IRS Refunds $3.9b
Small Business Administration $0.3 b
Federal Transit Administration $1.3b
HUD Programs(e.g., housing assistance for the poor) $6.7b
Other Spending $52.8 b

Oder hier eine andere Möglichkeit der Prioritätensetzung:

If you choose to pay…For a total of $173.9 billion

Interest on Treasury Securities $29.0 b
SocialSecurity Benefits $49.2 b
Medicare/ Medicaid $50.0 b
Food/Nutrition Services + TANF $9.3b
HUD Programs (e.g.housing assist. for the poor) $6.7 b
Veterans Affairs Programs $2.9 b
Unemployment Insurance Benefits $12.8 b
Special Education Grants $3.6 b
Tuition Assistance $10.4 b

Then you can’t fund these programs, worth $132.8 b…

Military Active Duty Pay $2.9b
Defense Vendor Payments $31.7 b
FederalSalaries + Benefits $14.2 b
Dep. of Education $6.2 b
Dep. ofLabor (e.g., training and employment services) $1.3 b
Dep.of Justice (e.g., FBI, federal courts) $1.4 b
Dep.of Energy (e.g., energy research, national nuclear programs) $3.5 b
Health and Human Services Grants $8.1b
Federal Highway Administration $4.3 b
Environmental Protection Agency $0.9 b
IRS Refunds $3.9b
Dep. of Interior $1.2 b
Federal Transit Administration $1.3b
Centers forDisease Control $0.5b
Other Spending $51.4 b

Handling all payments for important and popular programs (e.g., Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, Defense, active duty pay) will quickly become impossible.
•Economic disruption:
–Immediate 44% cut in federal spending would affect broader economy
–Many service providers unpaid:
Medicare and Medicaid providers

Defense vendors

–Individuals not receiving government checks
–Widespread uncertainty as decisions are made day by day

Quelle: http://www.bipartisanpolicy.org/site...0(updated).pdf

Hier kann man selber ausprobieren, was (nach eigener Meinung) noch bezahlt werden sollte und was nicht mehr finanziert und daher absterben soll: http://www.bipartisanpolicy.org/libr...limit-analysis

30-07-2011, 09:03	#48
Benjamin TBB Family Registriert seit: Mar 2004 Beiträge: 10.374	Das geht nicht nur um die Präsidentschaftswahl, das wäre zu kurz gedacht. Außerdem würde sich das sehr rasch ändern, denn die Konsequenzen würden beinahe schlagartig nach einem default kommen und unglaublich viele Menschen ganz direkt treffen, weil sie z.B. keinen Lohn mehr bekommen. Hier die Zahlen nur für den August 2011: The federal government has an estimated $306.7 billion in payment obligations for August 2011 after the 2nd of the month. The U.S. will take in $172.4 billion in revenue from August 3 to 31, 2011. Treasury would have to choose from well over 80 million monthly payments so that 40-45% of bills are not paid –Inflows and outflows do not match up well and are quite “lumpy,” as our daily analysis shows •The reality would be chaotic: –Unfair results, unanswered questions –Treasury picking winners and losers –Public uproar –Intense global media focus •We assume that prioritization will happen after August 2, either passively or actively •If the Administration is unable to find legal authority to prioritize, it will pay the bills in the order in which they are due, when and as cash is available to do so If you choose to pay…For a total of $172.7 billion: Interest on Treasury Securities $29.0 b SocialSecurity Benefits $49.2 b Medicare/ Medicaid $50.0 b DefenseVendor Payments $31.7b Unemployment Insurance Benefits $12.8 b Then you can’t fund these programs, worth $134 b… Military Active Duty Pay $2.9b Veterans Affairs Programs $2.9 b FederalSalaries + Benefits $14.2 b Dep. of Education (e.g., Pell grants, special ed. programs) $20.2 b Food/Nutrition Services + TANF $9.3 b Dep. ofLabor (e.g., training and employment services) $1.3 b Dep.of Justice (e.g., FBI, federal courts) $1.4 b Dep.of Energy (e.g., energy research, national nuclear programs) $3.5 b Health and Human Services Grants $8.1b Federal Highway Administration $4.3 b Environmental Protection Agency $0.9 b IRS Refunds $3.9b Small Business Administration $0.3 b Federal Transit Administration $1.3b HUD Programs(e.g., housing assistance for the poor) $6.7b Other Spending $52.8 b Oder hier eine andere Möglichkeit der Prioritätensetzung: If you choose to pay…For a total of $173.9 billion Interest on Treasury Securities $29.0 b SocialSecurity Benefits $49.2 b Medicare/ Medicaid $50.0 b Food/Nutrition Services + TANF $9.3b HUD Programs (e.g.housing assist. for the poor) $6.7 b Veterans Affairs Programs $2.9 b Unemployment Insurance Benefits $12.8 b Special Education Grants $3.6 b Tuition Assistance $10.4 b Then you can’t fund these programs, worth $132.8 b… Military Active Duty Pay $2.9b Defense Vendor Payments $31.7 b FederalSalaries + Benefits $14.2 b Dep. of Education $6.2 b Dep. ofLabor (e.g., training and employment services) $1.3 b Dep.of Justice (e.g., FBI, federal courts) $1.4 b Dep.of Energy (e.g., energy research, national nuclear programs) $3.5 b Health and Human Services Grants $8.1b Federal Highway Administration $4.3 b Environmental Protection Agency $0.9 b IRS Refunds $3.9b Dep. of Interior $1.2 b Federal Transit Administration $1.3b Centers forDisease Control $0.5b Other Spending $51.4 b Handling all payments for important and popular programs (e.g., Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, Defense, active duty pay) will quickly become impossible. •Economic disruption: –Immediate 44% cut in federal spending would affect broader economy –Many service providers unpaid: Medicare and Medicaid providers Defense vendors –Individuals not receiving government checks –Widespread uncertainty as decisions are made day by day Quelle: http://www.bipartisanpolicy.org/site...0(updated).pdf Hier kann man selber ausprobieren, was (nach eigener Meinung) noch bezahlt werden sollte und was nicht mehr finanziert und daher absterben soll: http://www.bipartisanpolicy.org/libr...limit-analysis __________________ Beste Grüße, Benjamin Geändert von Benjamin (30-07-2011 um 21:35 Uhr)