Keine guten Optionen erkennbar:
Iraq: Bad options all
The situation in Iraq has deteriorated to the point where only bad choices are available.
The current Bush strategy is to
shore up the Shi'ite-dominated government militarily , and that isn't working.
Bringing in more troops temporarily to stabilize the situation, then leaving - a plan originally endorsed by 2004 Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry - won't work, since the civil war has progressed to the point where even a million troops would not make a difference.
Partitioning Iraq into three entities - the Sunni center, the Shi'ite south, and the Kurdish north - will simply be a prelude to even greater conflict tying down more US troops.
Withdrawing to the bases or to the desert to avoid casualties will simply raise the question: Why keep troops there at all?
Getting Iran, Turkey and Syria to come in to create a diplomatic solution - one that the bipartisan Iraq Study Group headed by James Baker and Lee Hamilton may propose - is not going to work because no foreign-imposed settlement can counteract the deadly domestic dynamics of a sectarian conflict that has passed the point of no return.
Bush, of course , remains the boss when it comes to Iraq policy. It is not likely that this stubborn man has ceased to
believe in victory, which he restated as his goal at the same press conference where he announced Donald Rumsfeld's resignation as secretary of defense.
The more Machiavellian
Republican strategists such as Karl Rove will
probably want to enmesh the Democrats in a protracted bipartisan exit strategy that will cost more Iraqi and American lives so that by the time the 2008 presidential elections come around, the mess in Iraq will be bipartisan as well.
Auszug aus: Democrats have no good options on Iraq
Nov 16, 2006,
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/HK16Ak01.html