Imo besser wird die Lage hier analysiert, einem Interview mit Billionaire investor Paul Singer, hier seine Person im deutschen Wiki:
https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_S...C3%A4ftsmann):
Artikel mit seinen wichtigen Aussagen aus dem Interview:
He says the financial system is no more sound than it was in 2008. In fact, he contends that in many cases, it is more leveraged than it was leading up to the 2008 crash:
https://schiffgold.com/interviews/pa...t-sound-video/
Das
Video selbst:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=72rdwjp_EbA
Zitat daraus,, bemerkenswerterweise mit Bezug auf jene ca. 9-jährige Dauer des oben gezeigten Dreiecks im Chart:
Zitat:
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After nine years of this artificial levitation on the part of financial assets – high-end real estate, art, the things that rich people buy – I think what we have today is a global financial system that’s just about as leveraged, and in many cases more leveraged than before 2008. And I don’t think the financial system is more sound. And I don’t think the fixes that have been put into place have actually created a sound financial system.
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Zitat:
Singer questioned why people still have confidence in the central planners. He said the trust is misplaced and that it could evaporate in quick fashion. At that point, we can expect “a ruckus.”
"I don’t believe the confidence is justified in policymakers and central bankers. The fact that confidence has not been lost up to now is obvious, but if-and-when confidence is lost, I think it could be lost in a very abrupt fashion, causing conceivably a ruckus in bond markets, stock markets and in financial institutions.”
Of course, there is no way to know when the bubble will pop. Singer led off the interview with some sage advice.
"I have strong views about certain aspects of the macro-environment, but I don’t let these views infect my desire to be hedged all the time…We never make massive timing bets on the timing of bear markets or downturns.”
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ruckus = Krawall, Unruhe, Rabatz [ugs.]
Ist natürlich richtig: Die Glaskugel zum genauen Timing haben wir alle nicht!